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If Faf du Plessis’ team wants to advance, they must beat CSK by at least 18 runs if they bat first and score 200 runs. Winning by 17 runs or less will eliminate them due to a lower Net Run Rate.
If RCB bats second, they must reach the target with 11 balls left if they are chasing 201 runs.
This makes RCB’s path to qualification tricky, giving CSK a better chance. CSK can still qualify even with a close loss.
IPL 2024 Playoffs Scenario Where Neither RCB, Nor CSK Go Through
There’s another unlikely scenario where neither RCB nor CSK make the playoffs. If the Lucknow Super Giants beat the Mumbai Indians by a huge margin in their last match, they could have a better Net Run Rate (NRR) than RCB and advance. For this to happen, Lucknow must win big and have a higher NRR than RCB. Then, they would need RCB to beat CSK in the Bengaluru vs Chennai match, but only by a very small margin.
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